// UNCLASSIFIED // OPEN SOURCE ANALYSIS // LATTICERUNNER v22-24 //

LATTICERUNNER

TAIWAN STRAIT DEFENSE SIMULATION SUITE // 25.0400°N 121.5120°E
● LIVE ADS-B FEED
MAPBOX GL JS v3.3
CSIS FRAMEWORK 2023
BUILD 22.0 / 24.0

An open-source analytical simulation suite built on the CSIS "First Battle of the Next War" (2023) wargame framework. Models PLA amphibious assault, US carrier strike group operations, Anduril Lattice autonomous coordination, and the economic consequences of Taiwan Strait conflict — from a single browser tab, no installation required.

SOURCE: CSIS / CNAS PUBLIC WARGAME FINDINGS // NOT AFFILIATED WITH CSIS OR ANDURIL INDUSTRIES
23
PLAN Naval
Vessels Modeled
12
Assumption
Audit Parameters
500
Max Monte Carlo
Runs per Batch
8
Force Availability
Levers
INTERACTIVE SIMULATION // v22.0

Taiwan Strait
Defense

LATTICERUNNER_22_0_TAIWAN.html

Real-time defense simulation on live Mapbox terrain. Command Anduril autonomous interceptors, manage carrier strike group operations, and defend the Presidential Office against PLA multi-domain assault across air, naval, and amphibious axes.

  • Live ADS-B transponder feed over Taiwan airspace
  • PLA adaptive AI — shifts composition based on your counters
  • Full naval OOB: 12 PLAN + 10 US/Allied vessels
  • VLS depletion, Japan basing, Guam withdrawal cycle
  • Economy of Force ledger — real-time cost tracking
  • CSIS policy brief modals on all key assets
LAUNCH SIMULATION →
ANALYTICAL TOOL // v24.0

Wargame
Simulator

LATTICERUNNER_23_0_MONTECARLO.html

Tabletop-parity Monte Carlo engine modeled on the CSIS wargame framework with real-world force availability updates. Run up to 500 iterations, model Iran contingency CSG constraints, submarine warfare, air superiority contests, and generate structured JSON exports for policy analysis.

  • Force availability: CSG count, SSNs, ROCAF readiness, LRASM staging
  • Iran/multi-theater preset — single CSG constraint modeled
  • Air war layer: F-16V vs PLAAF daily attrition, J-20 threat, F-35B
  • Submarine warfare: SSN torpedo ops, PLAN ASW counter-detection
  • CSG standoff vs. forward posture — DF-21D exposure tradeoff
  • Sensitivity ranking across 12 parameters via Pearson r
  • A/B comparison with cost-efficiency shift analysis
  • Nuclear escalation threshold + auto-generated analytical narrative
OPEN ANALYTICAL TOOL →
TURN-BASED WARGAME // v24.0

CSIS
Tabletop

LATTICERUNNER_24_0_TABLETOP.html

Turn-based strategic wargame calibrated to the CSIS "First Battle of the Next War" (2023) tabletop findings. Each turn represents one day of a Chinese amphibious invasion. You make policy decisions, allocate forces, and resolve combat against an adaptive PLA AI. 10 days to survive. Japan basing is the decisive variable.

  • Turn-based: Decision Phase → Combat Resolution → Assessment
  • Strategic choices: Japan basing, CSG posture, air priority, HIMARS, B-21
  • 138-ship PLA fleet with individual hull tracking
  • 5 landing zones with troop accumulation and ground assault
  • SSN torpedo ops, VLS depletion, carrier withdrawal cycle
  • Nuclear shadow threshold — CSIS escalation dynamics
  • Full economy of force ledger with per-side cost tracking
  • PLAN fleet withdrawal when losses exceed stochastic threshold
PLAY TABLETOP WARGAME →
// ANALYTICAL FRAMEWORK
01
CSIS Wargame Basis
Order of battle, landing zone timing, and outcome probabilities derived from CSIS "First Battle of the Next War" (2023) — 24 wargame iterations. The Monte Carlo engine extends this with force availability modeling not present in the published CSIS work, including Iran contingency constraints and pre-conflict readiness states.
02
Anduril Lattice Layer
Sensor fusion pipeline (UNKNOWN→SUSPECT→HOSTILE), autonomous interceptor tasking, and multi-domain coordination model Lattice C2 architecture as described in public Anduril documentation.
03
Economic Modeling
Market index decay, TSMC semiconductor disruption, and GDP impact estimates sourced from Rhodium Group and CSIS economic appendix. Civilian displacement scaled to Taipei metro population of 2.7M.